11 checked facts

Future

Everything on this site about future — each one naming the study behind it.

You predict future happiness based on your current state.
A 2003 review article by Wilson and Gilbert defined the impact bias, summarizing evidence from earlier studies that sh…
You view your past as a series of constant evolutions.
A 2013 study found that people report having changed significantly in the past decade but believe they will change lit…
You believe your future self is a stranger.
Neuroimaging studies indicate that, for individuals with low future-self continuity, the brain processes the future se…
You believe that your future self will stay the same.
The projection bias leads individuals to overestimate the degree to which their future tastes and needs will resemble …
You overestimate how your future self will feel.
The projection bias causes you to project your current tastes or preferences onto your future decisions.…
You fixate on one detail while ignoring the context.
Focalism is the tendency to focus on a single event when predicting its impact on future well-being while neglecting o…
You think of future plans in impossible terms.
Construal level theory explains that the more distant an event is, the more abstractly you represent it.…
You believe your future is better than your present.
The optimism bias is a persistent cognitive error where you underestimate the likelihood of negative events and overes…
You think your future self will share your current tastes.
The projection bias is your systematic failure to predict how your future preferences will change based on your curren…
You are a terrible judge of your future self.
A 2003 study found that people systematically underestimate how much their future preferences will change based on the…
You judge your future self by your current needs.
Projection bias causes people to overestimate the degree to which their future tastes and preferences will resemble th…