3 checked facts

Uncertainty

Everything on this site about uncertainty — each one naming the study behind it.

You prefer a smaller reward that is certain.
Research shows people systematically choose lower-value, certain rewards over higher-value options involving uncertain…
You reject options when the outcome is unclear.
People avoid choices where the probability of success is unknown, even when other choices have lower odds.…
You feel a frantic urge to act during uncertainty.
In a study of professional soccer penalty kicks, goalkeepers were statistically more likely to dive left or right than…