Oddly Wired
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competence

You consistently believe you are more capable than you are.

While researchers have found that individuals often rate themselves as above average in various domains, the 1977 study by Lichtenstein and Fischhoff focuses on the calibration of probability assessments rather than relative self-evaluation.

The 'better-than-average' effect is more accurately associated with later studies, such as Svenson (1981) regarding driving performance and Kruger and Dunning (1999) regarding general competence.

Your sense of self-belief acts as a filter that hides your weaknesses.

Where this comes from

Study
Lichtenstein and Fischhoff, 1977
What the check found
The claim misattributes the 'better-than-average effect' to research on 'probability calibration.'
Confidence
Solid, with limits

Related

One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.