5 checked facts

Luck

Everything on this site about luck — each one naming the study behind it.

You overestimate your control over random outcomes.
When participants in a 1975 study were asked to pick a card, they were more confident of winning if they picked it the…
You believe you can influence outcomes based on pure chance.
A 1975 study found that people were willing to bet more money on a game of luck if they were the ones rolling the dice…
You believe a win is due after repeated losses.
The gambler's fallacy is a recognized statistical bias that has been studied since the 19th century; Tversky and Kahne…
You feel more capable when you believe you have control.
A 1975 study demonstrated that people were less likely to sell a lottery ticket if they were the ones who had chosen t…
You believe you control events that are entirely random.
A 1975 study showed that people overestimate their chances of winning a game of pure luck if they have performed a per…