Oddly Wired
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control

You feel more capable when you believe you have control.

A 1975 study demonstrated that people were less likely to sell a lottery ticket if they were the ones who had chosen the numbers personally.

The illusion of control is the tendency to believe that your actions influence outcomes that are actually dictated by chance. This makes you hold on to risks longer than you should. You equate effort with influence.

You treat luck like a skill you have mastered.

Where this comes from

Study
Langer (1975), Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
What the check found
Ellen Langer's 1975 paper 'The illusion of control' (JPSP) confirms that participants who chose their own lottery numbers set significantly higher selling prices, reflecting the identified psychological effect.
Confidence
Solid, with limits

Related

One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.