hot hand fallacy

You overestimate your ability to predict the future.

The 'hot hand' fallacy leads people to believe that success streaks imply a higher probability of continued success.

Change 'inevitable continued success' to 'a higher probability of continued success'.

You see patterns where there is only randomness.

Where this comes from

Study: Gilovich, Vallone, and Tversky, 1985, Cognitive Psychology
What the check found: The cited study exists and addresses the hot hand, but the claim exaggerates the belief to 'inevitable' success and ignores modern debates challenging the original study's conclusion.
Confidence: Solid, with limits

One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.