← all facts
logic
You believe that luck is a balancing force.
A 1971 study by Tversky and Kahneman, titled 'Belief in the Law of Small Numbers,' found that people expect short-term streaks of randomness to correct themselves, even when the odds never change.
The study was titled 'Belief in the Law of Small Numbers,' not 'Gambler's Fallacy.'
You see a pattern where there is only probability.
Where this comes from
- Study
- Tversky and Kahneman, 1971, Gambler's Fallacy
- What the check found
- The scientific concept is accurate, but the source title is misidentified. The relevant 1971 study is 'Belief in the Law of Small Numbers'.
- Confidence
- Solid, with limits
Related
One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.