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projection bias
You assume your future self wants what you want now.
A 2003 theoretical paper by Loewenstein, O'Donoghue, and Rabin formalized the concept of 'projection bias,' building on empirical findings like the 1998 study by Read and van Leeuwen.
The 2003 QJE paper is a theoretical model rather than the primary source for the snack-choice empirical data.
You are a stranger to the person you will be tomorrow.
Where this comes from
- Study
- Loewenstein, O'Donoghue, and Rabin, 2003, Quarterly Journal of Economics
- What the check found
- While the 2003 paper defines projection bias and discusses the phenomenon, it is a theoretical model paper, not the original empirical study that conducted the snack experiments.
- Confidence
- Solid, with limits
Related
One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.