← all facts
memory
You view your past through your present.
Research on 'hindsight bias' shows that after an outcome is revealed, people consistently overestimate their past ability to predict it.
The brain creates a smooth narrative of events by integrating the result into your memory of the past. You convince yourself that you saw it coming all along, making the world seem more predictable than it truly is.
You rewrite your history to ensure you were always right.
Where this comes from
- Study
- Fischhoff, 1975, Journal of Experimental Psychology
- What the check found
- The claim accurately reflects the primary finding of Fischhoff's 1975 work, though the provided reference material does not contain a specific supporting quote.
- Confidence
- Solid, with limits
Related
One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.