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decision making
You assume your future self will share your current desires.
The 2003 paper by Loewenstein, O'Donoghue, and Rabin established the theoretical framework for 'projection bias' that explains why people fail to predict changes in preferences.
The empirical findings regarding hungry participants and food selection were demonstrated in earlier psychological studies, such as Read and van Leeuwen (1998), which the 2003 paper cites to support its model.
You are planning for a person who does not exist.
Where this comes from
- Study
- Loewenstein, O'Donoghue, and Rabin, 2003
- What the check found
- The paper correctly identified the authors and the definition of projection bias, but it was a theoretical model, not an empirical study of food choices.
- Confidence
- Solid, with limits
Related
One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.