Oddly Wired
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decision making

Moving to a warmer climate rarely improves long-term happiness.

A 1998 survey found that while Midwesterners expected Californians to be happier, there was no significant difference in reported life satisfaction between the two groups.

This occurs because people focus on a single, salient factor—like weather—while ignoring the complex reality of daily life. The brain gives too much weight to the features that are most easily imagined, while the rest of life remains unchanged.

We misjudge happiness because we focus on the wrong variables.

Where this comes from

Study
Schkade & Kahneman, 1998, Psychological Science
What the check found
The 1998 study 'Does Living in California Make People Happy? A Focusing Illusion in Judgments of Life Satisfaction' by Schkade and Kahneman accurately supports this claim.
Confidence
Well replicated

Related

One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.