Oddly Wired
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agency

You consistently overestimate your ability to control external events.

When an outcome is preceded by your own action, even if it is unrelated, you feel a 'sense of agency' that causes you to believe you caused it.

The brain creates a causal link between your movement and the following event as a way to simplify a complex, chaotic world. This leads to the illusion that you influence things that are actually random. It is a byproduct of your brain's search for patterns.

You believe you are the driver of events you are only witnessing.

Where this comes from

Study
Wegner, 2002, The Illusion of Conscious Will
What the check found
The claim accurately reflects the core thesis of Daniel Wegner's 'The Illusion of Conscious Will' (2002), which posits that the feeling of agency is an inference rather than a direct perception of causality.
Confidence
Solid, with limits

Related

One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.