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planning
You assume your future self will have your current desires.
Projection bias is the tendency to overestimate how much your future preferences will align with your present state.
When you are full, you struggle to accurately predict how hungry you will be in four hours. You project your current emotional and physical state onto the future, often leading to poor long-term planning.
You are a stranger to who you will be tomorrow.
Where this comes from
- Study
- George Loewenstein, 2003
- What the check found
- The definition aligns with the source material provided, and George Loewenstein is a primary author of the seminal 2003 paper defining projection bias in economic and psychological contexts.
- Confidence
- Well replicated
Related
One of these every day, and every one names the study it came from. When a finding is contested, it says so.